Require provider time
A market cannot enter the public feed without a real provider timestamp that still passes the freshness policy.
Research desk 01Prediction marketsProduction research
Prediction-market research without the betting theatre
Stop hunting for bets. Build a view you can audit.
CloutDesk shows what prediction markets believe, what conditions changed, which sources support the conversation, and what remains unknown. It does not tell a person which wager to place or how much to risk.
- Provider timestamps required
- Inference is labeled
- No picks, stake sizing, or guaranteed-win claims
Current-data boundary
The board is where current observations become inspectable.
The landing page does not use invented markets to demonstrate the interface. Open the board to see real persisted provider data—or its truthful empty state.
No synthetic activity
No sample markets are shown here.
The public board reads from persisted, provider-backed records and removes them when they become stale. If nothing qualifies, it says so plainly.
Open the provider-backed boardSimple on purpose
Three layers. One research record.
The analysis can be complicated. The customer experience should not be. Every record separates what was observed, what was inferred, and whether any forecast has earned publication.
Require independent evidence
Provider prices alone do not establish an edge. Until a separate estimate is calibrated, the public research state remains data only.
Allow an empty board
Missing, stale, or incomplete inputs produce an unavailable state—not a placeholder market, synthetic sentiment, or invented forecast.